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Sea Level Rise is Already Threatening Communities

Union of Concerned Scientists

In an era when massive heat domes blanket large swaths of continents for days, wildfires burn through areas the size of small countries, and hurricanes regularly push the limits of what we once thought possible, sea level rise can seem like extreme weather’s low-key cousin. Since 1993, sea level has risen by an average rate of 3.1

Sea Level 341
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Why is future sea level rise still so uncertain?

Real Climate

Three new papers in the last couple of weeks have each made separate claims about whether sea level rise from the loss of ice in West Antarctica is more or less than you might have thought last month and with more or less certainty. Two elephant seals in the Southern Oceans arguing about marine ice cliff instability.

Sea Level 255
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The water south of Greenland has been cooling, so what causes that?

Real Climate

An AMOC weakening by 15 % thus cools the region at a rate of 0.15 x 10 14 W and according to model simulations can fully explain the observed cooling trend (2). Here we start by taking the Greenland mass loss rate into the ocean, times the temperature difference between the meltwater and the water it replaces.

Cooling 344
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AR6 of the best

Real Climate

Sea level rise is a big deal Use, abuse and misuse of the CMIP6 ensemble The radiative forcing bar chart has gone full circle Droughts and floods are complicated Don’t mention the hiatus. Sea Level Rise: The previous IPCC reports, notably AR4 and AR5 (to a lesser extent) , have had a hard time dealing with SLR.

Sea Level 361
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Deciphering the ‘SPM AR6 WG1’ code

Real Climate

There is no doubt that we have changed Earth’s climate through our activities on a broad range of aspects that includes consequences for the atmosphere, the oceans, snow, ice, Earth’s fauna and ecosystems. In addition, ozone depletion higher up in the stratosphere has caused a cooling high up in the atmosphere. mm increase every year.

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Phantastic Job!

Real Climate

Think about what is involved – biological proxies from extinct species, plate tectonic movement, disappearance in subduction zones of vast amounts of ocean sediment, interpolating sparse data in space and time, degradation of samples over such vast amounts of time. All of which adds to the uncertainty. van der Meer, C.R. Scotese, B.J.

Sea Level 354
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The AMOC: tipping this century, or not?

Real Climate

If the AMOC weakens, this region will cool. And in fact it is cooling – it’s the only region on Earth which has cooled since preindustrial times. that the sea surface temperature there in winter is a good index of AMOC strength, based on a high-resolution climate model. From Rahmstorf and Ganopolski 1999.

Ocean 242