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A CERES of fortunate events…

Real Climate

The CERES estimates of the top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes are available from 2001 to the present. 2021) also reported on a two decade estimate of Earthshine measurements which appear to confirm a small decrease in albedo (and decrease in reflected short wave (SW) radiation). A paper last year (Goode et al., Similarly, Loeb et al.

Radiation 360
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The CO2 problem in six easy steps (2022 Update)

Real Climate

The fact that there is a natural greenhouse effect (that the atmosphere restricts the passage of infra-red (IR) radiation from the Earth’s surface to space) is easily deducible from; i) the mean temperature of the surface (around 15ºC) and, ii) knowing that the planet is normally close to radiative equilibrium.

Radiation 350
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New misguided interpretations of the greenhouse effect from William Kininmonth

Real Climate

He made some rather strange claims, such as that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) allegedly should have forgotten that the earth is a sphere because “ most absorption of solar radiation takes place over the tropics, while there is excess emission of longwave radiation to space over higher latitudes ”. References.

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A Nobel pursuit

Real Climate

The key aspects were the inclusion of water vapour feedback as temperatures increased, and the use of ‘convective adjustment’ to maintain stability of the lower atmospheric column. The basic issue stems from the different timescales of the ocean and atmosphere. But let’s go back to the beginning.

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The definitive CO2/CH4 comparison post

Real Climate

But methane’s role in atmospheric chemistry and as a source of stratospheric water vapour means that it has a bigger effect on climate than just the direct effect of its concentration. Before we go any further though, we need to understand that the effective perturbation time for CO 2 and CH 4 in the atmosphere are very different.

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AR6 of the best

Real Climate

Projections of (a) temperature (constrained), (b) Arctic sea ice area (raw CMIP6), (c) ocean pH (constrained), and sea level (d)to 2100, and (e) to 2300 (constrained). and other things worth noting – for instance, the much better and more direct graphics that they have clearly worked on a lot. Figure SPM 8. 1981) which can be seen here.

Sea Level 361
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Clauser-ology: Cloudy with a chance of meatballs

Real Climate

However, not only is there an obvious energy imbalance (as seen by the growth of ocean heat content), it’s actually accelerating Loeb et al., He, however, goes seriously off the rails when he estimates the impact of clouds on the radiation budget.