Remove Atmosphere Remove Greenhouse Remove Radiation
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New misguided interpretations of the greenhouse effect from William Kininmonth

Real Climate

Another clue is William Kininmonth’s ‘rethink’ on the greenhouse effect for The Global Warming Policy Foundation. When looking at the effect of changes in greenhouse gases, one must look at how their forcing corresponds to the energy balance at the top of the atmosphere. References. 679-688, 2016. 699-703, 2015.

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WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

Real Climate

As well as the (now) standard set of graphs related to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations , rising temperatures , reducing glacier mass, etc., since the 1850-1900 baseline is very clearly associated with the increases in greenhouse gases, slightly (and decreasingly) modulated by the changes in atmospheric pollution.

2023 189
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The CO2 problem in six easy steps (2022 Update)

Real Climate

Step 1: There is a natural greenhouse effect. This means that there is an upward surface flux of IR around (~398 W/m 2 ), while the outward flux at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) is roughly equivalent to the net solar radiation absorbed (~240 W/m 2 ). Step 2: Trace gases contribute to the natural greenhouse effect.

Radiation 352
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A CERES of fortunate events…

Real Climate

The CERES estimates of the top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes are available from 2001 to the present. 2021) also reported on a two decade estimate of Earthshine measurements which appear to confirm a small decrease in albedo (and decrease in reflected short wave (SW) radiation). The simplest model for the greenhouse effect.

Radiation 307
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The definitive CO2/CH4 comparison post

Real Climate

So this is an attempt to put all of that in context and provide a hopefully comprehensive guide to how, when, and why to properly compare the two greenhouse gases. Before we go any further though, we need to understand that the effective perturbation time for CO 2 and CH 4 in the atmosphere are very different. Historical comparisons.

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CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling

Real Climate

So SSU me Like MSU trends, these records reflected a weighted average of atmospheric temperatures, and the three SSU channels progressively weight higher levels in the stratosphere, roughly centered on 30km, 40km and 45km above the surface but with quite a bit of overlap. References B.D. Po-Chedley, L. Solomon, D.W.J. Thompson, C. Casas, G.A.

Cooling 282
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Clauser-ology: Cloudy with a chance of meatballs

Real Climate

Also missing is any realization that clouds also contribute to the greenhouse effect (roughly 25% of the total) and so whether cloud changes warm or cool depends very much on where the clouds are (high clouds have a very different effect than low clouds for instance).