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In August, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued its updated forecast for the 2024 hurricane season. Significantly warmer than usual surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, which come largely as a result of human-caused climate change. One of the main reasons for this forecast?
Scientists are sounding the alarm because this warming is shockingly bigbigger than what we would have expected given the long-term warming trend from fossilfuel-caused climate change. According to recent data from NOAAs National Center for Environmental Information, 2024 is likely to be even warmer than 2023.
After the hottest summer on record, the world continues to witness extreme weather fueled by the burning of fossilfuels. We need to stop burning fossilfuels immediately. Thankfully, we are in the midst of a much-needed transition away from fossilfuels and towards a future powered by more renewables.
The future trajectories are based on different scenarios, such as versions of the future where the world comes together to take action and phase out fossilfuels, or versions where fossilfuel production continues throughout this century. What causes sea level rise to persist for centuries?
In a new study released today, UCS attributes substantial temperature and sea level rise to emissions traced to the largest fossilfuel producers and cement manufacturers. Every delay in phasing out fossilfuels will burden future generations who need to adapt to rising seas and recover from loss and damage due to sea level impacts.
Climate models are the main tool climate scientists use to predict how Earth will respond to more heat-trapping pollutants in the atmosphere. Just by looking at the name, you can see that a GCM is a model that simulates the circulation of Earths different physical systems like the atmosphere and ocean. What causes a circulation?
Climate models are the main tool scientists use to assess how much the Earths temperature will change given an increase in fossilfuel pollutants in the atmosphere. The atmosphere around us is an invisible fluid (at least to the human eye): we can apply math to that fluid to predict how it will look in the future.
Four RCP scenarios describe different levels of radiative forcing in the atmosphere by 2100. Radiative forcing is the change in energy balance in the Earths atmosphere due to heat trapping emissions. SSP5: Taking the highway A scenario driven by economic growth and high fossilfuel use, leading to rapid warming.
Utilities and grid operators prepared for the storm as it was coming down the pike, but they still underestimated the energy demand it would trigger, as well as the number of outages at fossilfuel power plants—mainly natural gas-fired, plus some coal-fired plants.
The primary cause of accelerating sea level rise is human activity As people burn fossilfuels and emit heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide, our atmosphere and our oceans warm up. As the ocean warms, it expands. That adds water to the oceans, which raises their level.
This trend will continue as glacial melting, decreased rainfall, and a “thirstier” atmosphere jeopardize sources of freshwater in some parts of the globe. It finds more evidence that severe weather events are linked to carbon in the atmosphere and are becoming more extreme. Heavy rainfall will also become more common and more powerful.
A simple statement that masks just how complicated the issues are: mixing politics, economics, livelihoods, fisheries and endangered species in the ocean body that is the Gulf of Maine. GOM communities, not fossilfuel interests, should determine policies that affect GOM people. Sea levels are rising.
That 2013 headline resulted from the first effort to quantify emissions from the ‘carbon majors’ —fossilfuel companies and cement manufacturers whose businesses have contributed an outsized amount of heat-trapping gases to the atmosphere. Nearly two-thirds of industrial heat-trapping emissions can be traced to just 90 entities.
Bottom trawling disturbs the ocean floor, researchers found. Critics question whether “trawl disturbance” is different from the carbon flux that naturally occurs in oceans.
Right in the middle of Danger Season , we are going through a period of unprecedented global extreme temperatures driven by fossil-fueled climate change. The unrelenting heat has caused a dizzying number of air and ocean temperature records to be broken in recent weeks. High ocean temperatures also fuel tropical storms.
With fossil-fuel pollution trapping heat and driving up global average temperatures, those warmer months are warmer than ever. Higher ocean and air temperatures manifest in storms, heat, precipitation, drought and wildfires that can be more intense, more frequent, and/or longer lasting. What happened to summer?
I asked my colleague, Dr. Marc Alessi , an atmospheric scientist, about the hurricane. With ocean surface temperatures more than 2 degrees Celsius above normal in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, Helene was able to rapidly intensify to a Category 4 hurricane before making landfall in Florida.
Even now, with fall in the air, we are reminded of the harsh reality that fossil-fueled climate change is causing fall to be warmer across the contiguous US, particularly in the southwest. California too experienced a late-season October heatwave , made worse by climate change.
The latest data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) and the EU’s Copernicus climate service show that the 2024 January-August period is the hottest ever by far, putting this year well on track to be the warmest ever on record. For the next round of NDCs, the U.S.
3) ExxonMobil predicted the possibility of linking rising temperatures to fossilfuels ExxonMobil researchers accurately predicted when it would become possible to attribute changes in climate to human activity. Such a constraint would clearly place a limit on the amount of fossilfuels ExxonMobil could extract, produce and market.
Communities and ecosystems continue to suffer the consequences of human-caused climate change , primarily from the burning of fossilfuels across our economy. The case for phasing out of fossilfuels and making a just and equitable transition to clean energy has never been more clear. comes from burning fossilfuels.
But methane’s role in atmospheric chemistry and as a source of stratospheric water vapour means that it has a bigger effect on climate than just the direct effect of its concentration. There is also a very small impact of the CH 4 oxidation to CO 2 itself for any fossil-fuel derived methane. (a) W/m 2 for CH 4.
The fact that there is a natural greenhouse effect (that the atmosphere restricts the passage of infra-red (IR) radiation from the Earth’s surface to space) is easily deducible from; i) the mean temperature of the surface (around 15ºC) and, ii) knowing that the planet is normally close to radiative equilibrium. in IPCC TAR).
Without the considerable carbon absorption capacity of our lands (and oceans), we’d currently have much more CO 2 in the atmosphere and an accelerated timeline of warming. In North America, the land carbon sink between 2004 and 2013 offset roughly 39% of fossilfuel emissions , but varied substantially year to year.
A new study examined what the ocean will look like in the future if we keep burning all the fossilfuels we can lay our hands on. And if we do, the future for the ocean is grim indeed. Thanks for signing up for Ocean Conservancy emails. But the researchers also showed that there is still hope for the ocean.
Heightened flood risk The National OceanicAtmospheric Administration (NOAA) said in a recent outlook that about 44 percent of the United States is at risk of floods this spring, equating to about 146 million people. Fuel transport – Spring floods can hinder the transportation of fuels like coal.
To date in 2023, the United States has already suffered nine climate and weather disasters resulting in at least a billion dollars of damage, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. This has got nothing to do with climate.This is not because of fossilfuels.” This doesn’t make anybody cough.
While there is enormous potential for UN climate negotiations to transform climate action, meaningful progress has been delayed in part by the fossilfuel industry’s deceptive tactics. Last year’s COP was notable as the first to explicitly mention “fossilfuels” in the final decision document.
Management approved her shift in emphasis, hoping that she would prove that aerosols in the atmosphere (including those from auto exhaust) would completely offset the greenhouse gas effect. In the early 1960s, he wrote again about fossilfuels as causes of global warming. He talked her into studying climate change.
As deeply troubling reports continue to come in about ocean waters hitting historic hot temperatures, sectors like global shipping are trying to understand the consequences of a warmer ocean and what can be done to stop the heating. So, we’re seeing the ocean heat up, lose oxygen and get bigger.
The burning of fossilfuels and other human activities are continuing to cause rapid temperature rise. Achieving global climate goals will require rapid and dramatic greenhouse gas emissions reductions, along with the removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. ocean waters. judge-made) law.
Today the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its annual report on billion-dollar weather and climate-related disasters in the United States, which tells a grimly familiar story. The math of fossilfuel companies’ obscene profits even as working people struggle to pay energy bills.
are used all over the world, based on calculations that quantify the effects of physical mechanisms and the way different parts of the atmosphere are connected to each other. The physics-based models describe how energy flows through the atmosphere and ocean, as well as how the forces from different air masses push against each other.
The ocean retains heat for much longer than land does. If people everywhere stopped burning fossilfuels tomorrow, stored heat would still continue to warm the atmosphere. Historically, the first climate models represented only the atmosphere and were greatly simplified. Oceans in the future. By Richard B.
We are officially within the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season here in the United States, and just a couple weeks ago, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its forecast for this year’s season. The post Florida’s Daunting 2024 Hurricane Forecast appeared first on Ocean Conservancy.
By Anders Lorenzen On the eve of the COP28 UN climate summit, The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), a United Nations (UN) body, has warned that the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (GHG) is forecast to continue the trend that resulted in record-high CO2 measurements last year. Photo credit: iStock.
For 2022, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted a season with above normal activity on its August 4 updated forecast , calling for 14-20 named storms. .” After all, we hardly had storms or hurricanes in the news for the past 3 months.
That report, in the technical language of probabilities and scenarios, underscored the urgency of the moment and the need not only to reduce the release of heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere and limit global warming to 1.5
The correlation had been shown in a paper by an author outside the conventional scientific community, so, for good measure, Simpson added that a non-expert could not properly appreciate how atmospheric circulation affects the absorption of radiation. Three years later, Tyndall showed that the CO 2 absorption occurs at infrared wavelengths.
Human activity adds more than 50 gigatons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere each year. New Solid Carbon technology might be able to lock climate-warming carbon dioxide below ocean bedrock. Large-scale solutions are urgently needed. Photo credit: Francisco Anzola, Flickr CC BY 2.0. By Dr Kate Moran.
It stressed the need to reduce the release of heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere, and to limit global warming to 1.5 The report also said it is necessary to enable communities to live with the challenges already confronting them such as extreme weather, acidifying oceans, and rising seas. degrees Celsius.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast , released on May 25, calls for similar numbers: 12 to 17 total named storms, of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes, with 1 to 4 being major.
In the case of carbon removal associated with industrial systems, the process prevents increased emissions of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. In the case of carbon removal from the ambient air (what is often called direct air capture or DAC), the process reduces the concentration of carbon dioxide in the global atmosphere.
degrees Celsius warmer than in the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period, when humans began burning fossilfuels on an industrial scale, pumping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The Copernicus Climate Change Service added, that in 2023 the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere rose to the highest level ever recorded at 419 PPM.
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