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Last month, 44 climatescientists from 15 countries wrote an open letter to the Nordic Council of Ministers highlighting the risk of a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a critical ocean current system in the Atlantic Ocean. But what exactly would cause the AMOC to collapse?
The reason why 2016 was so warm was because of a strong El Nio eventa naturally-occurring cycle in the Earths climate systemwhich typically leads to a spike in Earths global-mean temperature. where 30,000-plus scientists gathered to present their latest research.
Climate models are the main tool climatescientists use to predict how Earth will respond to more heat-trapping pollutants in the atmosphere. But what exactly is a climate model? Lets start off easy by breaking down the phrase climate model.” What causes a circulation? temperature, rainfall, etc.)
Because of the way the climate and ocean systems respond to heat-trapping emissions, sea levels will continue to rise even after air temperatures stabilize. This has been noted as a source of climate injustice , due to the profound impacts on future generations and low-lying coastal communities.
It shows the atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and tells a story about the carbon cycle, involving Earth’s crust, the atmosphere, land surface, the biosphere, and the oceans. The Keeling curve, highlighted with the release of important climate reports and climate summits.
Climate models are the main tool scientists use to assess how much the Earths temperature will change given an increase in fossil fuel pollutants in the atmosphere. As a climatescientist, Ive used them in all my research projects, including one predicting a change in Southwestern US precipitation patterns.
Initially it used four different emission storylines from the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) as a scientific basis, however, recognizing the need for a more flexible and policy-relevant framework, scientists developed the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) for the IPCC reports. Lower-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6)
This trend will continue as glacial melting, decreased rainfall, and a “thirstier” atmosphere jeopardize sources of freshwater in some parts of the globe. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a group of the world’s leading climatescientists, released its sixth climate assessment on Monday.
Another clue indicating a shortcoming is if you look at the atmospheric CO 2 -concentrations over time to see how much impact the IPCC reports have had on the real policy-makers in the world (Figure below). The cause of our changing climate is the increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations that we have released into the air.
Tiny particles of plastic in the atmosphere can affect Earth’s climate, according to Laura Revell at the University of Canterbury in New Zealand and colleagues. Although the threats these microplastics pose to natural ecosystems are now being studied extensively, their influence on Earth’s climate is still virtually unknown.
are used all over the world, based on calculations that quantify the effects of physical mechanisms and the way different parts of the atmosphere are connected to each other. The physics-based models describe how energy flows through the atmosphere and ocean, as well as how the forces from different air masses push against each other.
Like other climatescientists, he knew from research papers and worldwide storm patterns that a warming atmosphere is thirstier and sops up more moisture from oceans and the land. By Judy Fahys A question has bothered climatologist Park Williams during the decade he’s been probing drought in the Southwest.
As climatescientists we tend to look at the IPCC reports a little differently than the general public might. Here are a few things that mark this report out from previous versions that relate to issues we’ve discussed here before: Extreme events are increasingly connected to climate (duh!) Figure SPM 8. Johnson, A.
Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are responsible for weather forecasts and severe storm warnings, information we likely take for granted. Climatescientist Katharine Hayhoe asserts that talking about climate change is the most important thing we can do.
Corporate leadership was informed about advances in climate science and incorporated those advances when its scientists built their own models. Regardless, the company publicly cast doubt on the reality of global warming, attempted to discredit climatescientists and climate models, and tried to block climate action.
By Amy Green, Lisa Sorg Tropical Storm Debby, a plodding, waterlogged system that has already saturated four southeastern states, bears many characteristics of a warming planet, climatescientists say. It’s reminiscent of other catastrophic tropical cyclones that have battered the United States over the past eight years.
The discovery by Ladislav Skrbek at Charles University and colleagues could help climatescientists to better understand the flow of heat through Earth’s atmosphere, and may also lead to better designs of heat exchangers.
The 24-month study process begins with the Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, a team of scientists operating within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Click To Tweet. Here’s how that works. Their task is to assess what the rivers might do. Reclamation should be looking in that direction, he says.
Through greenwashing ads, disinformation campaigns, attacks on scientists, and production of fake scientific evidence, the industry has engaged the playbook of deception to undermine climate action.
The Discovery Partners Institute studies land surface-atmosphere interactions that impact urban fluid dynamics and boundary layer flow at multiple spatial scales, from regional to local. The institute also conducts collaborative and translational research that benefits society at the intersection of science, engineering and social sciences.
Chris’s well-researched articles and expert interviews help shed light on dynamic climate changes, bring public attention to the resulting impact, and highlight environmental trends that can completely alter the world we know. Dr. Shepherd’s work in the climate and weather space is widely recognized. Dr. Marshall Shepherd. Eric Blake.
In addition, it stores vast quantities of freshwater that if released to the ocean would rise sea level by tens of meters and interfere with saline-driven ocean currents that transfer heat around the planet. In the ocean, 19 marine heatwaves have been recorded between 2002 and 2018. Prof Martin Siegert in Antarctica.
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation ( ENSO ) is one of the most significant, but variable, climate patterns in the world. This tropical Pacific Ocean phenomenon affects weather in South America, Australia, Asia, and beyond. Researchers are also studying how ENSO will be affected by climate change.
Products that bear the label “carbon neutral” are supposed to be produced with no added emissions to the atmosphere. The National Forests Foundation advertises that for every $2 donation, they’ll plant two trees that will remove or offset 1 metric ton of CO2e from the atmosphere for the life of those trees. But can you trust it?
This is the third year in a row that emissions from energy are flat, yet, climatescientists report that our atmosphere is seeing its carbon content grow faster than ever. So, why is the amount of carbon in our atmosphere is increasing fast if our emissions from energy are stable ? But are there other factors for this ?
Student in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University Most people remember the water cycle they learned in school: water evaporates from lakes, rivers, and the ocean, air carrying this moisture rises, cools, condenses, and forms clouds, and these clouds precipitate water back down to the surface.
In this, he is in violent agreement with Isaac Held, his colleague at GFDL, and indeed most climatescientists. The key aspects were the inclusion of water vapour feedback as temperatures increased, and the use of ‘convective adjustment’ to maintain stability of the lower atmospheric column. 1975) , and Bryan et al.
Photo provided by the author The aftermath of Helene is proving the worst of what we imagine in the face of climate change. I asked my colleague, Dr. Marc Alessi , an atmosphericscientist, about the hurricane. Given the warming ocean surface temperatures, rapid intensification of hurricanes is happening more often.
The only region of cooling is the northern Atlantic, where climate models have long predicted just that due to a slowing of the Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation. The heating of the global ocean has been going on at a steady rate of nine zeta Joules per year for decades , which is 15 times the worldwide primary energy consumption.
Some of the highest risks can be found in the candidates’ home states: the ocean off of Florida has hit 98 degrees— hot tub temp s! Among mid-Atlantic states, New Jersey is ground zero for climate change. We should expect to hear more, as climate impacts are only going to get worse.
James Hansen, the scientist who first sounded the climate alarm in Congress, sees a decrease in aerosol pollution driving a surge of warming and criticizes the U.N. climate science panel, drawing a backlash from other researchers.
Proponents claim the process will replicate phytoplankton fertilization by iron-rich dust blown into the oceans during ice ages, and that it will help limit climate change through several mechanisms – most prominently by oxidizing atmospheric methane.
To date in 2023, the United States has already suffered nine climate and weather disasters resulting in at least a billion dollars of damage, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That fits with the last five years , which have seen an annual average of 18 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters.
The correlation had been shown in a paper by an author outside the conventional scientific community, so, for good measure, Simpson added that a non-expert could not properly appreciate how atmospheric circulation affects the absorption of radiation. One was Eunice Foote , a 19th-century American scientist. 139 1961 ).
An area of high pressure above the Pacific Ocean was driven eastwards through the jet stream by a “Rossby wave” – a planetary-scale fluctuation arising from the Coriolis force. The Rossby wave eventually “broke”, dumping its energy – like an ocean wave hitting the shore – to create an area of high pressure locked over western Canada and US.
The theme of how aggressively to tackle climate change may well play a key role in deciding who the next Chancellor of Germany will be as Merkel’s term draws to a close at the end of this year.
Since that 2014 study, which laid the foundation of what is called climate source attribution science , UCS scientists have collaborated with Heede on two other studies that pinpointed the major carbon producers’ culpability for specific climate change-related trends. Licker et al.
This spring, Texas A&M climatescientists Andrew Dessler and Jangho Lee told the Associated Press that last year’s real national annual heat death toll may be 11,000, nearly five times higher than the 2,300 cited by the government.
It needs to be an informed decision with equal input from climatescientists and economists. Report after report, scientist after scientist, they continue to demonstrate that our lack of movement on climate change is leading to stronger and more frequent and dangerous weather patterns and rising ocean waters.
It was a sorry exclamation point on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s assessment that 2023 was the Earth’s warmest year on record. And even that number of US deaths may be a vast understatement given that heat illnesses are often not mentioned on death certificates.
Each storm made history in its own right: Beryl was the earliest Category 5 storm on record in the Atlantic Ocean, Helene broke rainfall records in Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee, and destroyed tens of mountain communities, and Milton was the second fastest intensifying storm since 1979.
Plaintiffs aim to hold the federal government accountable for worsening the dangers of climate change through increased reliance on fossil fuels and for breach of its fiduciary obligation to protect the atmosphere and oceans under the public trust doctrine.
In videos and Congressional testimony , Wright portrays himself as a truth teller, while falsely claiming that climatescientists and renewable energy advocates are deceptive. In the last sixty years, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has grown 100 times faster than it did at the close of the last ice age.
Court Dismissed Counterclaims in ClimateScientist’s Defamation Lawsuit. Superior Court dismissed counterclaims brought by an individual writer against the climatescientist Michael Mann in Mann’s defamation lawsuit against National Review, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, and two individuals. Chao , No. filed Sept.
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