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Previous attribution research published by my Union of Concerned Scientists colleagues have allowed us to draw causal connections between sources of heat-trapping emissions and resulting impacts, like present day increases in atmosphericgreenhouse gas concentrations, air temperatures, sea levels , ocean acidification , and wildfire burned area.
It finds more evidence that severe weather events are linked to carbon in the atmosphere and that those weather events are becoming more extreme. Natural influences, such as volcanic activity or sunlight intensity, account for a mere sliver of atmospheric warming. The report paints an alarming picture of the future of fresh water.
The CERES estimates of the top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes are available from 2001 to the present. 2021) also reported on a two decade estimate of Earthshine measurements which appear to confirm a small decrease in albedo (and decrease in reflected short wave (SW) radiation). The simplest model for the greenhouse effect.
Step 1: There is a natural greenhouse effect. This means that there is an upward surface flux of IR around (~398 W/m 2 ), while the outward flux at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) is roughly equivalent to the net solar radiation absorbed (~240 W/m 2 ). Step 2: Trace gases contribute to the natural greenhouse effect.
In my opinion the press conference on 9 August 2021 didn’t do justice to the vast effort that went into it. Another clue indicating a shortcoming is if you look at the atmospheric CO 2 -concentrations over time to see how much impact the IPCC reports have had on the real policy-makers in the world (Figure below).
This trend will continue as glacial melting, decreased rainfall, and a “thirstier” atmosphere jeopardize sources of freshwater in some parts of the globe. By Laura Gersony, Circle of Blue — August 10, 2021. It finds more evidence that severe weather events are linked to carbon in the atmosphere and are becoming more extreme.
By Anders Lorenzen On the eve of the COP28 UN climate summit, The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), a United Nations (UN) body, has warned that the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (GHG) is forecast to continue the trend that resulted in record-high CO2 measurements last year. Photo credit: iStock.
Still, both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast , released on May 24, and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast , released on April 7, predict a season with above-normal activity— for the seventh consecutive year. Can we expect more seasons like 2020 and 2021? Of course, we have questions!
A friend asked me if a discussion paper published on Statistics Norway’s website, ‘ To what extent are temperature levels changing due to greenhouse gas emissions? ’, was purposely timed for the next climate summit ( COP28 ). I don’t know the answer to his question. But this discussion paper is problematic for sure.
10 from IPCC (2021). 2 from IPCC (2021). in Canadell et al (2021). Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). in the underlying chapter; Canadell et al (2021)). in Canadell et al (2021). Source: Figure SPM.10
But this also raises other questions: 1) Can we expect the season to continue to lengthen as global warming from increasing concentration of globally well mixed greenhouse gas (GWM-GHG) continues to warm the Atlantic SSTs? Emanuel 2021 ; Hall et al. 2021 ; Knutson et al. 2020 ), many others do not. 2013 ; Sobel et al.
Carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide reached record-high concentrations in the atmosphere in 2021, including the largest recorded increase in methane
By Laura Gersony, Circle of Blue — November 8, 2021. ” A growing body of scientific research shows that even if society were to halt emissions overnight, a certain amount of atmospheric warming—and accompanying environmental risks— would still occur. report found. According to the U.N
That adds up to something in the ballpark of fifty million tons of CO2 that California kept out of the atmosphere during that decade beyond what happened in the power sector nationally. Post-2021 figures don’t seem to be available (or at least I didn’t find them), and 2020-2021 numbers were distorted by the COVID pandemic and recovery.
Meanwhile, note that the factors listed above involve the whole Earth system: the oceans, the cryosphere, the atmosphere, the solid earth and lithosphere, and a full range of scales, from the city block and shoreline, to ice dynamics that change over kilometers, to GRD footprints, to the whole global ocean. 2020) or Sadai et al.
The increase regional VPD is mostly attributed to human-cause climate change (68%) and the rest (32%) is attributed to variations in the atmospheric circulation. High atmospheric “thirst” over multiple seasons or years can lead to drought conditions as vegetation dries out, and water flow in streams and rivers decreases.
The World Meteorological Organization Greenhouse Gas Bulletin. The WMO’s GHG bulletin’s headline takeaways are stark: Atmospheric concentrations of three major heat-trapping gases, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), methane (CH 4 ) and nitrous oxide (N 2 O) hit all-time highs in 2021 (see table below). A truly scary prospect.
2015 ; Connolly et al, 2021 ). And also, let’s be clear, this mysteriously justified temperature series has been created explicitly to demonstrate a connection to the HS93 solar reconstruction – that was the case in the Soon et al (2015) paper, the Connolloy et al (2021) paper and now in this new Soon et al paper.
Depending on the product, 2021 was either the 5th, 6th or 7th warmest year, but in all cases, it is part of the string of warm years (since 2015) that have all been more than 1ºC warmer than the late 19th C. Zyss, "Improvements in the GISTEMP Uncertainty Model", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , vol. Lenssen, G.A.
The EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), the EU’s Earth Observation Programme, said that records dating back to 1850 showed that in 2021 the global average temperature was 1.1-1.2 Atmospheric CO2 levels at record highs. Levels of CO2 in the atmosphere reached 414.3 parts per million in 2021, up by around 2.4
In the absence of a global political consensus on phasing out coal and other industrial activities with high greenhouse gas emissions, the private sector has an increasingly important role in climate change mitigation. –Constanza Boselli, LLM 2021. The world will not explode if the under 1.5ºC warming goal is not met.
Steep reductions in emissions of methane—which traps 81 times as much heat as carbon dioxide in the first 20 years in the atmosphere—are among the most important steps for slowing climate change in the short term. By Phil McKenna The U.S. Combined, the new rules would reduce methane emissions from the U.S.
Also missing is any realization that clouds also contribute to the greenhouse effect (roughly 25% of the total) and so whether cloud changes warm or cool depends very much on where the clouds are (high clouds have a very different effect than low clouds for instance). Clouding the picture So where does this leave us? Senan, J.M. Lyman, G.C.
The UN body the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) explained that the economic downturn brought on by nationwide lockdowns only caused a temporary downturn in emissions and was not enough to reverse the rising levels of greenhouse gasses (GHG) in the atmosphere. Not going in the right direction.
Under the LCFS each fuel pathway gets a unique carbon intensity (CI) based on a lifecycle analysis of the greenhouse gas emissions associated with the production and use of the fuel. Unfortunately, this is far from the truth. And because methane is such a potent heat trapping gas, credit for avoided methane emissions can be quite large.
The cost of BC’s 2021 season of climate disasters, which included the heat dome, rampant wildfires, widespread flooding and dangerous landslides, was estimated to have cost more than $17 billion. It’s called the Social Cost of Carbon and it quantifies the damages of greenhouse gas emissions on health, the economy, and the environment.
Delayed action on emissions cuts may require even more (and more expensive) CDR – the 2024 United Nations Emissions Gap Report released this week found that 2023 greenhouse gas emissions set a new record, and current emissions reduction pledges for 2030 are insufficient to meet temperature goals.
Together, they pull carbon out of the atmosphere and store it, all for free. Forest Ecology and Management 482 (2021): 118886. Leveraging the potential of nature to meet net zero greenhouse gas emissions in Washington State." PeerJ 9 (2021): e11802. Infographic: TNC/Erica Simek Sloniker. 2 Robertson, James C., Kristina V.
This refers to the balance between the amount of greenhouse gases produced and the amount removed from the atmosphere – with net zero meaning that there are no net greenhouse emissions from the entire energy system.
It found that greenhouse-gas emissions emitted by the lab in 2018 was 223 800 tonnes of carbon-dioxide equivalent. The move comes just days before the 2021 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Conference of Parties (COP26) in Glasgow, UK, which will be attended by world leaders. Eager to learn.
The promise from many nations is to reach net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions by 2050 (or earlier) and interim targets are essential. But the United Nations has just said that the latest commitments of the 192 parties of the 2015 Paris agreement will equate to a 16% rise in global greenhouse-gas emissions in 2030 compared to 2010.
We’re still waiting for regulations to ban six single-use plastics that were supposed to be in place as early as 2021. Plastic is made almost entirely from fossil fuels in a process that releases greenhouse gases — which is why plastic is being called the new coal. . A gannet wades through plastic debris.
million in Alternative Fuel Incentive Grants (AFIGs) to 18 cleaner fuel transportation projects statewide that will reduce greenhouse gas emissions and other air pollutants. Vehicles alone release 21 percent of carbon dioxide emissions in the state, a known greenhouse gas and direct contributor to climate change.
While the idea of capturing carbon pollution before it reaches the atmosphere sounds good, in reality, it doesn’t actually work. That oil then gets burned, adding more carbon pollution to the atmosphere than what was originally captured. Carbon capture is a greenwashing tactic The new subsidy is for carbon capture projects.
In theory this could seed clouds that reflect sunlight back into space – counteracting the greenhouse effect. Tales of toads and fish serve as an appetizer for the closing part of the book, when we finally get our teeth into engineering the atmosphere. The tomatoes were “perfect, in that greenhouse tomato-y way,” reports Kolbert.
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 directed the U.S. In response to this challenge, public and private sector actors around the world are researching and deploying a variety of technologies designed to remove greenhouse gasses like carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) from the atmosphere.
Just days before the conference she was featured in an article where she attempted to shift blame away from the fossil fuel industry by saying that oil companies can only decarbonize as fast as the rest of the economy – a comment that completely ignores the fact that the oil and gas industry is Canada’s largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.
Also on the project from Penn State were Klaus Keller, professor of geosciences; Robert Nicholas, associate research professor of atmospheric sciences; and Michael Gomez, postdoctoral fellow in civil and environmental engineering. Wolf: 2021 Climate Impacts Report Projects Pennsylvania Will Be 5.9° Reprinted from Penn State News.)
The Advisory Opinion addresses several key questions regarding application of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) in the context of climate change, including the interaction between UNCLOS and the global climate change regime, and the specific obligations of States to reduce climate-damaging greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
In 2021, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) set a target for the aviation industry to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. Airlines bought every drop of SAF available in 2021,” Tjoeng says. “So In October 2021, German non-profit atmosfair opened the first production plant, aiming to produce a carbon-neutral product.
Governor Edwards’ Climate Initiatives Task Force, charged with making recommendations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions originating in Louisiana, recently took another step towards that goal. The Task Force released a first draft of the report in the spring of 2021.
While rice yields are expected to decline due to rising temperatures, rice paddies are also among the biggest emitters of methane, a greenhouse gas. million) to the Climate Resilient Agriculture Initiative in the 2021-22 budget, which was reduced to INR 408.7 Rice presents a unique challenge. million in 2022-23.
Posted on August 10, 2021 by Seth Jaffe. Here are a number of the lowlights: It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. Here are a number of the lowlights: It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. Global warming of 1.5°C
The recent boost for CDR is linked to an emerging trend in climate policy which understands CDR as supplemental to urgent action on decarbonization and overall greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions (rather than a replacement for those activities). Yet, key issues around definitions, guidance, and climate governance remain.
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