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The CO2 problem in six easy steps (2022 Update)

Real Climate

Step 1: There is a natural greenhouse effect. This means that there is an upward surface flux of IR around (~398 W/m 2 ), while the outward flux at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) is roughly equivalent to the net solar radiation absorbed (~240 W/m 2 ). Step 2: Trace gases contribute to the natural greenhouse effect.

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A Nobel pursuit

Real Climate

The key aspects were the inclusion of water vapour feedback as temperatures increased, and the use of ‘convective adjustment’ to maintain stability of the lower atmospheric column. The basic issue stems from the different timescales of the ocean and atmosphere. Fred Singer, before his turn to the dark side).

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A CERES of fortunate events…

Real Climate

The CERES estimates of the top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes are available from 2001 to the present. We can explore the issues and pitfalls of this using the ‘simple model’ of the greenhouse effect we explored back in 2007. The simplest model for the greenhouse effect. A simple model with feedbacks.

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The definitive CO2/CH4 comparison post

Real Climate

So this is an attempt to put all of that in context and provide a hopefully comprehensive guide to how, when, and why to properly compare the two greenhouse gases. In 2020, CO 2 was at ~410 parts per million, while CH 4 was around 1870 parts per <it>billion</it> (or 1.87 Historical comparisons. W/m 2 for CH 4.

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The Global Methane Pledge

Legal Planet

Here are the basics: The Pledge aims to achieve a collective goal of reducing global methane emissions by at least 30 percent below 2020 levels by 2030. California’s 2016 law, SB 1383 , requires a 40 percent reduction from 2013 levels, which is comparable to the 30 percent reduction from 2020 levels identified in the Global Methane Pledge.

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Prepare for Another Dangerous Hurricane Season Predicted for 2022

Union of Concerned Scientists

Still, both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast , released on May 24, and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast , released on April 7, predict a season with above-normal activity— for the seventh consecutive year. Can we expect more seasons like 2020 and 2021? Of course, we have questions!

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The State of Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere Based on Global Observations through 2020

Environmental News Bits

The latest analysis of observations from the WMO GAW in situ observational network shows that globally averaged surface mole fractions(1) for CO2, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) reached new highs in 2020, with CO2 at 413.2 ± 0.2 ppm(2), CH4 at 1889 ± 2 ppb(3) and… Read more →

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