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Sea surface temperature trend 1993 – 2018, from European Atlas of the Seas. An AMOC weakening by 15 % thus cools the region at a rate of 0.15 x 10 14 W and according to model simulations can fully explain the observed cooling trend (2). Let’s compare two possibilities by a back-of-envelope calculation. (1)
There was a workshop in 2018 (that I attended) to discuss how one might go about doing something better – updating the data, improving quality control, and using models to better connect local or regional signals to the global means. and, like many of us, had found the then-current literature somewhat unsatisfactory. van der Meer, C.R.
In addition, ozone depletion higher up in the stratosphere has caused a cooling high up in the atmosphere. The global mean sealevel has increased by 20 cm from 1901 to 2018, and the rate of increase has accelerated and is now about 3.7 This is likely an effect of man-made climate change. mm increase every year.
From droughts to wildfires to rising sealevels and torrential rains, the state has felt the effects of a changing climate in a variety of ways. California has experienced a significant increase in the extent of forest fires in recent decades, with a fivefold increase in annual burned area from 1972 to 2018.
So the Ditlevsens used sea surface temperatures (SST) in a region between the tip of Greenland and Britain as an indicator, based on Caesar et al. 2018 ( PDF ; I’m a coauthor on that paper). If the AMOC weakens, this region will cool. We have direct AMOC measurements only since 2004, a time span too short for this type of study.
Total loss of the Greenland ice sheet, for example, would raise sealevels globally by more than 20 feet. The paper sets out an agenda for research into ways to limit glacial ice-sheet deterioration and associated sealevel rise. Open Arctic sea lanes dramatically shorten shipping times from China to Europe.
For example, Antarctica acts to cool our planet by reflecting solar radiation back to space by virtue of the brightness of its snow surface. In the ocean, 19 marine heatwaves have been recorded between 2002 and 2018.
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It shows, for example, that both the strength and rapid intensification of hurricanes are increasing, that the intensity and duration of drought and extreme precipitation are increasing , that sealevel rise and coastal flooding are increasing , and that wildfires are increasing in frequency and size.
Water circulation in the Atlantic Ocean has slowed to its weakest recorded level, and global warming is the likely cause thats according to a new study in the journal Nature. It could also raise sealevels along the United States East Coast. East Coast to the North Atlantic, where it cools, sinks and then moves south.
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