2018 Cooling Radiation 
Real Climate
MAY 21, 2023
As predicted in 1967 by Manabe and Wetherald , the stratosphere has been cooling. The dominant factors are changes in CO2 (a cooling), ozone depletion (a cooling), warming from big volcanoes, and oscillations related to the solar cycle. Thompson et al. We are using the NOAA-STAR version 3.0 of these products (Zou et al.,
Real Climate
JANUARY 26, 2025
2018 (Fig. 2018 (our Fig. Of the 24 CMIP6 models, a full 23 underestimate the sea surface cooling in the ‘cold blob’ And most of the CMIP6 models even show a strengthening of the AMOC in the historic period, which past studies have shown to be linked to strong aerosol forcing in many of these models (e.g.
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Real Climate
AUGUST 12, 2021
In the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C in 2018, but they represent a significant update since AR5 in 2013. Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). 2018) A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C
Real Climate
SEPTEMBER 19, 2024
There was a workshop in 2018 (that I attended) to discuss how one might go about doing something better – updating the data, improving quality control, and using models to better connect local or regional signals to the global means. and, like many of us, had found the then-current literature somewhat unsatisfactory. 0.6ºC (95% CI).
Real Climate
OCTOBER 12, 2021
Fortunately, Manabe recently wrote a retrospective on his early work in response to receiving the Crafoord prize in 2018. 2018 ), but I think it’s fair to say that few modelers think it’s a useful tool anymore. In his 2018 retrospective, Manabe doesn’t discuss the issue at all. 9335-9350, 2018.
Physics World
OCTOBER 6, 2021
Extreme heat is not just an abstract notion: if we can’t cool our bodies enough, we’re in danger of neurological failure, organ failure and even death, with the risks highest for children and the elderly. On balance, clouds nearer the stratosphere warm us, whereas low-lying clouds tend to cool us because their greenhouse effect is smaller.
Frontiers
AUGUST 7, 2023
For example, Antarctica acts to cool our planet by reflecting solar radiation back to space by virtue of the brightness of its snow surface. In the ocean, 19 marine heatwaves have been recorded between 2002 and 2018. In the Arctic this has led to regional warming four times faster than the global average.
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