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CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling

Real Climate

So SSU me Like MSU trends, these records reflected a weighted average of atmospheric temperatures, and the three SSU channels progressively weight higher levels in the stratosphere, roughly centered on 30km, 40km and 45km above the surface but with quite a bit of overlap. Thompson et al. We are using the NOAA-STAR version 3.0

Cooling 290
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How Major Carbon Producers Drive Sea Level Rise and Climate Injustice

Union of Concerned Scientists

Previous attribution research published by my Union of Concerned Scientists colleagues have allowed us to draw causal connections between sources of heat-trapping emissions and resulting impacts, like present day increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, air temperatures, sea levels , ocean acidification , and wildfire burned area.

Sea Level 192
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Deciphering the ‘SPM AR6 WG1’ code

Real Climate

Another clue indicating a shortcoming is if you look at the atmospheric CO 2 -concentrations over time to see how much impact the IPCC reports have had on the real policy-makers in the world (Figure below). The cause of our changing climate is the increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations that we have released into the air.

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How not to science

Real Climate

I had reason to be reviewing the history of MSU satellite retrievals for atmospheric temperatures recently. McNider and Christy, Feb 19th 2014, Wall Street Journal Most of the op-ed is a rather tired rehash of faux outrage based on a comment made by John Kerry (the then Secretary of State) and we can skip right past that. Wentz, and M.

2014 325
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A distraction due to errors, misunderstanding and misguided Norwegian statistics

Real Climate

A friend asked me if a discussion paper published on Statistics Norway’s website, ‘ To what extent are temperature levels changing due to greenhouse gas emissions? ’, was purposely timed for the next climate summit ( COP28 ). I don’t know the answer to his question. But this discussion paper is problematic for sure.

Sea Level 345
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A deep dive into the IPCC’s updated carbon budget numbers

Real Climate

Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). IPCC (2014) Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. When adjusting for the emissions since AR5 and SR1.5, AR6 remaining carbon budget for limiting warming to 1.5C Leitzell, E.

2018 358
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AR6 of the best

Real Climate

The radiative forcing bar chart has gone full circle: Almost every IPCC report has a version of the radiative bar chart showing the contributions over the historical period of all the different forcings (greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar, etc.). Russell, "Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide", Science , vol.

Sea Level 361