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Deciphering the ‘SPM AR6 WG1’ code

Real Climate

The problems with the SPM are similar those from the previous fifth assessment report which prompted me to write a post in 2013. I think in hindsight that my concerns from 2013 to some extent were supported by the fact that the IPCC organised an Expert Meeting on Communication, Oslo, Norway, 9–10 February 2016.

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Upcoming Developments in International Governance of Marine Carbon Dioxide Removal

Law Columbia

Delayed action on emissions cuts may require even more (and more expensive) CDR – the 2024 United Nations Emissions Gap Report released this week found that 2023 greenhouse gas emissions set a new record, and current emissions reduction pledges for 2030 are insufficient to meet temperature goals.

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The Global Methane Pledge

Legal Planet

22 degrees by 2050 because of both the reduced emissions and the dissipation of methane in the atmosphere, potentially allowing the world a bit more time to reduce and sequester other greenhouse gases. A worldwide methane emission reduction of 30 percent by 2030 could reduce global warming by.22

2030 244
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A distraction due to errors, misunderstanding and misguided Norwegian statistics

Real Climate

A friend asked me if a discussion paper published on Statistics Norway’s website, ‘ To what extent are temperature levels changing due to greenhouse gas emissions? ’, was purposely timed for the next climate summit ( COP28 ). I don’t know the answer to his question. But this discussion paper is problematic for sure.

Sea Level 326
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How not to science

Real Climate

I had reason to be reviewing the history of MSU satellite retrievals for atmospheric temperatures recently. Instead, they chose to hide the structural uncertainty in the MSU retrievals (the TMT trends for 1979-2013 in UAH v5.5 TLT trends for 1979-2013 were 0.14± 0.05 McNider, "Satellite greenhouse signal", Nature , vol.

2014 302
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A deep dive into the IPCC’s updated carbon budget numbers

Real Climate

And since the first IPCC estimates published in 2013, we have learned a lot and have gotten much better at estimating remaining carbon budgets. IPCC reported carbon budgets for the first time in 2013. in 2018, but they represent a significant update since AR5 in 2013. In the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C

2018 358
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Should the official Atlantic hurricane season be lengthened?

Real Climate

But this also raises other questions: 1) Can we expect the season to continue to lengthen as global warming from increasing concentration of globally well mixed greenhouse gas (GWM-GHG) continues to warm the Atlantic SSTs? In particular, they don’t just respond to SST changes, but also how the atmosphere changes as the SSTs change.

2020 255